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Interesting "Flash Crash" Buy Order Almost filled.

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Many moons ago I set up flash-crash buy orders on Binance to buy Steem in the event that a super good deal became available.

https://steemit.com/acidyo/@edicted/acidyo-gave-me-2500-steem

My Steem/BTC order actually went through! And I bought 2500 Steem for $100 worth of Bitcoin. 4 cents a coin. It was hilarious. Some Steem whale really fucked up there.

However, my Steem/BNB order never went through. It has been up on the market for 6 months now. I was randomly thinking about it when I realized the order might get filled soon. Not because of a flash crash, but because BNB has been steadily gaining value and Steem has been steadily losing value.

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Lo and Behold!

I was right. I'm still trying to trade 20.4 BNB for 4000 Steem at a ratio of 0.0051 : 1

I gave a sigh of relief as I scrolled to click the cancel button.

But I just said "fuck it"

Let it ride.

If the difference between Steem and BNB doubles again... Let it happen.

A lot of people think there isn't demand to buy Steem. Well what about that order for 1.4 million coins at 0.00182? Plenty of people want to buy Steem, just not at these prices; myself included.

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Liquidity on Binance's Steem/BTC pair looks weak as well. If a couple hundred thousand coins get dumped the price would flash crash down to those 0.0000050 orders. Undercut those orders by setting your flash crash buy at 0.0000051, and we might all cash in on the next flash crash like I did 5 months ago, like a boss:

binance steem flash crash.png binance steem flash crash cropped.png

Seriously, it doesn't get anymore perfect than that.

I'll be moving my BTC to Binance to make this play at 0.000051.
I encourage you to do the same. It's literally free money if it happens.

I can see the wheels turning:

Some of you are thinking:

Nice, you bought Steem at a ratio of 0.0000110 (110 Satoshi), but Steem has since crashed organically to a ratio of 239 Satoshi, so your gains have been undermined.

This is totally 100% false and need to be addressed immediately.

If I fold pocket 2's in Texas Holdem and then a 2 comes on the flop, do I tell myself I should have called? No, I tell myself good job because on average I'm going to get totally fucked calling that garbage.

pocket bitcoin poker hold.png

The decision to hold the Steem after I acquired it was totally separate from the flash crash limit order. A lot of people find themselves playing the coulda-shoulda-woulda after-the-fact game when they gamble, and people that do this find themselves getting destroyed and have no idea why.

If I flip a coin 10 times and they all land heads, what is the chance that the 11th time is also heads? The answer is 50%, the same as all the other flips, and if you aren't willing to bet your life on that fact, you're going to have a very hard time successfully gambling. Previous outcomes do not affect subsequent ones.

https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmUMFURDwdycaTFaYkr1sNXojsybT99oWSkxBy1DYFGJkq/t9.png

Liquidity on ETH is also not great. Set flash crash buys to 0.000217 to undercut the 1.5M buy order.

If it happens, you look like a genius. If it doesn't, it doesn't. This is a zero risk situation in the short-term.

I have 2 Liquid ETH on Coinbase. If the flash crash happened I would get 9216 Steem. It's a no-brainer, and a good way to support Steem.

Transferring my tokens to Binance now.


But what about other exchanges?

One reason why I'm excited that I finally completed KYC on Bittrex is they are the best exchange to actually have an SBD/BTC pair. When SBD trades lower than $1, that's just free money on the table.

https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmYRZD68HdQnDQZPYJcdbMoEneaydoHkTwwTL54k4qqezr/t6.png

Look at how bad that Liquidity is! 0.23 Bitcoin worth of SBD getting dumped would flash-crash the price to 78 cents per SBD. Literally just free money staring you in the face if you get lucky. The problem here is that you have to be more vigilant in the event that Bitcoin value spikes up and someone (a bot) realizes it's smart to buyout your position. Still though, not that big of a deal; you're checking the price of BTC daily anyway.


https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmcbx4vXLafXq8xBdXchRKvxcFaBZVVF4xkGzo5RSXRukf/t5.png

Last but not least

The Bittrex Steem/BTC pair is also a riot. If 3.7 Bitcoin worth of Steem was dumped on this market, the value of a Steem coin would literally flash crash to ZERO. How's that for ROI?

I drew the red lines there because that's where I would think about undercutting.


At these prices, assuming a Bitcoin value of 12k:

Ratio Cents per Steem
0.00001256 15
0.00000601 7.2
0.00000287 3.4
0.00000104 1.2

Conclusion

Don't think it's possible to buy Steem at 1.2 cents per coin? Flash crashes happen all the time. If you have Bitcoin, Ethereum, or BNB just sitting around not working for you, consider adding liquidity to an exchange and possibly getting paid out fat.


Looking at exchange liquidity in this way, it's also easy to see why Steem value keeps crashing even in the face of our fundamentals improving. This is especially true in light of the programmatic selling sourced at Steemit Inc.


It only takes one panicking whale to crash any of these markets.

Seriously, no joke, one person can move these markets easily. I can tell you from experience, it feels pretty good to wake up in the morning and realize you just made $1000 for setting a zero-risk flash-crash buy order.

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HF21 might turn out to be an utter disaster (COUGH HF20 COUGH COUGH). Wouldn't it be nice to get something out of that potential cluster fuck? There have been a lot of powerdowns lately, less than 200M coins are powered up.

The air is charged for Steem to flash crash.

Don't say you weren't warned.

https://steemit.com/steem/@penguinpablo/weekly-report-how-much-steem-is-stored-on-the-exchanges-july-11-2019

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Interesting "Flash Crash" Buy Order Almost filled. was published on and last updated on 12 Jul 2019.